Polymarket Trader

onchainretard

0x3e775deb4df4b10645bb5d67814cb6cbd0a6e626

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.14K
Realized PnL: $5.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $529.49
Potential payout: $532.95
Potential profit: $3.46
User PnL: $107.43

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $485.19
Potential payout: $492.33
Potential profit: $7.14
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $187.06

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $257.9
Potential payout: $265.88
Potential profit: $7.98
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $91.42

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $234.33
Potential payout: $236.1
Potential profit: $1.77
User PnL: $80.51

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $195
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $34

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $144.58
Potential payout: $149.98
Potential profit: $5.4
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $41.59

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $125.81
Potential payout: $137.5
Potential profit: $11.69
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $22.69

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $99.6
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.4
User PnL: $9.6

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $95.5
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $6.06
Potential payout: $65.9
Potential profit: $59.84
Multiplier: 10.87x
User PnL: -$12.39

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $47.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $2.5
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $6.5

No position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.8
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $8.65
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $498.08

No position

Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $474.72

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 Week of May 4 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $365.73

Yes position

Will "Elizabeth Taylor" get 3 million or more views in the first week?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $359.91

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $359.24

No position

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $335 on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $323.38

Yes position

Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $268.47

No position

Will Kanye launch a coin in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.01

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 200-224 October 11-18?

Ends Oct 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.9

Yes position

>3.1 million TSA travelers any day November 23-30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.46

Yes position

TJR mentee Timmeh earns prop payout in 30 days?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.78

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Mar 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.92

No position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3 AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.65

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $163.59

Yes position

Will Trump win 7 swing states?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.6

Yes position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.72

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $155.05

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of June 8 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.27

Yes position

Will $Trump FDV be $20-25b on Feb 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.41

No position

Will Google reach $335 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.26

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.65

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?

Down 72% 290.32 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 18?

Yes 10.8% 60 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of June 15 2026?

Yes 6.6% 174.28 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 18?

No 3% 11.05 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 17?

Down 25% 17 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 17?

Down 30.7% 15 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on June 17?

Yes 1% 105 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 17?

Down 21% 10 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 17?

Down 19.7% 30 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 17?

Up 63% 5 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 17?

Up 63% 20 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 17?

Up 62% 20 shares