Polymarket Trader

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0x3e79b84c28c1c97d75cfd0fd462dded91c95b2d0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.58K
Realized PnL: $3.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.9%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $209.86
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$7.25

No position

Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.4%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $117.38
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.66

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $379.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $20.2
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $23.8

No position

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $308.01
Potential profit: $308.01
User PnL: -$130.65

Yes position

Will "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.99
Potential profit: $54.99
User PnL: -$1.04

No position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $21.19
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $11
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $9
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $7.4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $12.6
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $11.08
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $0.68
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.08

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $10.96
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $0.67
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 10 or more seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$9.52

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $5.75
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $8.8
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.2
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $6.15
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $3.85
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$1.15

No position

Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $4.84
Potential payout: $7.87
Potential profit: $3.03
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $2.64

No position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.24
Potential payout: $1.24
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $770.19

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $513.45

Yes position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $318.42

No position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.12

No position

Yoon in jail before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.28

No position

Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.8

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.01

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.58

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.78

No position

North Korea missile test by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.81

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.97

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.51

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.2

Yes position

Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.53

No position

Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.53

Yes position

Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.99

No position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.6

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

No position

Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.98

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.79

Yes position

Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.13

Yes position

Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.63

No position

Grok 4.20 released by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.39

No position

Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.85

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 51% 20 shares
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

No 90.7% 12.9 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 6% 31.99 shares
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

No 89% 15.21 shares
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

No 87.9% 58.04 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 17% 190 shares
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

No 43% 10.16 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

Yes 70% 100 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 26% 40 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 26% 50 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 26% 100 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 74% 200 shares