No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.9%
- Current value
- $1.7K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $303
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$111
Polymarket Trader
Wagner275738
@Wagner275738
0x3e82ee576fc88f620ac88006cc736f254d1b17c7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.46K
- Realized PnL
- $8.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $1.76K
- Potential payout
- $1.78K
- Potential profit
- $21.41
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $25.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $949.82
- Potential profit
- $949.82
- User PnL
- -$655.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $769.24
Yes position
Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $673.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $544.69
No position
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $541.55
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $506.16
Yes position
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $427.61
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $356.28
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350.84
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336.93
No position
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.05
No position
U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.31
No position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $302.26
No position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?
Ends Aug 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.38
Anyones Legend position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260
Yes position
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.92
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.04
Yes position
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.84
Yes position
Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.53
No position
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.49
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 21?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.68
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.55
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 98.6% 246.66 shares
- LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsT1 98.9% 54.99 shares
- LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsT1 99.1% 136.21 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 97.1% 1,266.67 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 98.5% 1,577 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 98.4% 20 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 98.4% 263.44 shares
- Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No 93.2% 527.1 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETUp 82.1% 1,196.97 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETUp 83% 20.99 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETDown 99% 1,111.11 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 61% 1,799.99 shares