No position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $45.44
- Potential payout
- $64
- Potential profit
- $18.56
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $13.44
Polymarket Trader
0x3e97...3c72
0x3e972e9f4f97768c48418d98bd0ad8ffb9353c72
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $59.66
- Realized PnL
- -$19.07
- Win rate
- 36.8%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.6
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.6%
- Current value
- $1.82
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $9.18
- Multiplier
- 6.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $1.4
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $7.6
- Multiplier
- 6.41x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $8.57
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.4%
- Multiplier
- 3.80x
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.3%
- Multiplier
- 2.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.22
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Yes position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.56
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 29%
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- -$17.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No 87% 5 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 84.7% 7 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 14.8% 9 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 21% 12 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 94.2% 7 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 44.1% 5 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 49.1% 5 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 51% 7 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 79% 11 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 21% 6 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 79.1% 7 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No 76% 7 shares