Polymarket Trader

Abladollosac

0x3e987a7dee36cf8df3c737dc4a1a064f05215389

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $51.61
Realized PnL: $36.9
Win rate: 37.5%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.38
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $11.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $188.5
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.43
Potential profit: $130.43
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $4.53
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $113.12
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$15.47

Yes position

Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $19.62
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $57.31
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $9.62

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $70.75
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 3 Brazil?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $2.9
Potential payout: $53.19
Potential profit: $50.29
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 58.9%
Current value: $10.9
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $7.62
Multiplier: 1.70x
User PnL: $0.9

No position

World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $11.54
Potential profit: $10.67
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.13

Italy position

Men's Group B - Italy vs. Slovakia

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.4
Potential profit: $8.4
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.44

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.78

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.36

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 5?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Armada" this week? (February 8)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

No position

Will Trump say "TikTok" this week? (February 8)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Finland position

Men's Group B - Finland vs. Sweden

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Chinese or Russian athlete kicked out of 2026 Winter Games for doping?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Italy position

Men's Group B - Sweden vs. Italy

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Denmark win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.6%
Multiplier: 5.12x
User PnL: -$2.46

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 3 Brazil?

Yes 7% 71.43 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 40% 12.5 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 41% 12.2 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5% 200 shares
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?

No 26% 11.54 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 60% 8.33 shares
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 250 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 71.43 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.4% 53.19 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 54% 18.52 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 99.3% 72.28 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 83% 72.29 shares