Levins

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $35.3
Potential payout: $10.09K
Potential profit: $10.05K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$25.21

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $16.75
Potential payout: $6.7K
Potential profit: $6.68K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$3.35

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $8.09
Potential payout: $5.39K
Potential profit: $5.38K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$40.11

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $35.08
Potential payout: $2.81K
Potential profit: $2.77K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$12.63

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $41.57
Potential payout: $2.68K
Potential profit: $2.64K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$12.07

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $44.1
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.76K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$6.3

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $25.03
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $1.7K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$7.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $7.6
Potential payout: $799.98
Potential profit: $792.38
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $31.8
Potential payout: $599.99
Potential profit: $568.19
Multiplier: 18.87x
User PnL: $29.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $12.15
Potential payout: $337.51
Potential profit: $325.35
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: $8.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.6
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $198.39
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 21?

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $3.45
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $146.55
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$12.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.95
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$3.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $6.3
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $53.7
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $44.5
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 29.9%
Current value: $11.94
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $28.06
Multiplier: 3.35x
User PnL: $8.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $38.19
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $8.55
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $21.45
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.3
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $6.6
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $13.4
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $1.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.8

Yes position

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $15.53

Yes position

Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.34

Yes position

Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $13.4

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.64

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 11.8%
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $12.54

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $11.96

Yes position

Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.97

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.4%
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.86

Yes position

Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.23

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $3.15

Yes position

Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.92

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?