Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $363.33
- Potential payout
- $2.62K
- Potential profit
- $2.26K
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- $53.33
Polymarket Trader
0x3Ea307C4200E5f8E5eF12E8bAccbd3B8B3fBdE0C-1773330559236
0x3ea307c4200e5f8e5ef12e8baccbd3b8b3fbde0c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $969.71
- Realized PnL
- -$83.88
- Win rate
- 30.8%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$10.77
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $996.5
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $909.09
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $132.14
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $582.14
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$67.86
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Current value
- $69.69
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $555.31
- Multiplier
- 8.97x
- User PnL
- -$30.31
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $138.25
- Potential payout
- $602.41
- Potential profit
- $464.16
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $38.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $495.97
- Potential profit
- $495.97
- User PnL
- -$0.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $475.05
- Potential profit
- $475.05
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $101.29
- Potential payout
- $397.22
- Potential profit
- $295.93
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $1.29
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $41.77
- Potential payout
- $203.25
- Potential profit
- $161.48
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- -$8.23
Yes position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $198.77
- Potential profit
- $197.97
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$49.2
Yes position
Will VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $187.33
- Potential profit
- $187.33
- User PnL
- -$6.56
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $109.1
- Potential payout
- $110.14
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- User PnL
- $89.1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.99
- Potential profit
- $85.99
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $9.69
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $52.81
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.43
- Potential profit
- $54.43
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.47
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$9.84
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.1
- Potential profit
- $35.1
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.08
- Potential profit
- $35.08
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.76
Yes position
Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.13
Yes position
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.04
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Yes position
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.18
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.29
Yes position
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$43.98
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$68.39
Yes position
Will TISZA win 46-50% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$199.39
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$293.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.6% 602.41 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16% 625 shares
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.1% 909.09 shares
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1% 1,000 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?No 10.9% 45.7 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?No 12.4% 40.29 shares
- Will VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election?Yes 3.5% 187.33 shares
- Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 15?No 0.2% 475.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 15?Yes 0.2% 495.97 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on April 15?Yes 1.7% 54.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on April 16?Yes 2.7% 35.08 shares