Yes position
Will Base be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.3K
- Potential profit
- $34.3K
- User PnL
- -$87.01
Polymarket Trader
insidero
0x3eae62bde2d83aba0fe84018921b2693ec645e6d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.86K
- Realized PnL
- $15.01K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $10.72K
- Potential payout
- $11.35K
- Potential profit
- $624.17
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $350.42
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $8.25K
- Potential payout
- $10.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$152.11
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $5.34K
- Potential payout
- $5.78K
- Potential profit
- $436.43
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $152.72
Yes position
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.49K
- Potential profit
- $4.49K
- User PnL
- -$91.23
Yes position
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $83.02
- Potential payout
- $3.69K
- Potential profit
- $3.61K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$40.61
Yes position
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.39K
- Potential profit
- $2.39K
- User PnL
- -$44.95
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $1.5K
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $843.5
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- -$123.34
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2.09K
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- User PnL
- $25.26
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $1.91K
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $101.7
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $53
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $86.8
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.91K
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.7%
- Current value
- $300.14
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.62K
- Multiplier
- 6.39x
- User PnL
- -$25.89
Yes position
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $12.91
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $281.65
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$168.85
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.7%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $145.71
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $17.89
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- User PnL
- -$109.01
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $14.17
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $5.93
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$978.56
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$139.12
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $996.51
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- User PnL
- $116.5
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $977.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$930
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Current value
- $375.3
- Potential payout
- $992.87
- Potential profit
- $617.57
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- -$17.18
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "President" 55+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $941.36
- Potential profit
- $941.36
- User PnL
- -$393.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47K
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29K
No position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $948.8
No position
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $937.96
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $604.45
Yes position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $549.79
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $519.9
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $413.34
Patriots position
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $397.5
No position
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $393.08
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $384.22
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.78
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.89
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.99
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.98
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.22
Patriots position
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.39
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.97
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.51
No position
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.02
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.73
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will CarMax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 96% 100 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98% 1,000 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 98.4% 248.87 shares
- Will Dave & Buster's (PLAY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 22% 100 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 94.1% 263.93 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes 84% 29 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 81.9% 200 shares
- Will RH (RH) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 95% 58 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98% 398.23 shares
- Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes 2.9% 339.33 shares
- Will Dave & Buster's (PLAY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 9.9% 762.7 shares
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 7% 1,217.41 shares