No position
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $925.23
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $629.78
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $23.33
Polymarket Trader
hotdonkey
0x3eb49bff15e79391783ef720b2fb8d4bf8dfb3fc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $941.87
- Realized PnL
- $1.38K
- Win rate
- 88.9%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$71
Over position
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$127.2
Over position
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 5.5 Corners
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.97
- Potential profit
- $137.97
- User PnL
- -$17.94
No position
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$75
Over position
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 3.5 Corners
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$67.99
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $16.65
- Potential payout
- $22.05
- Potential profit
- $5.4
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $2.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.37
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.62
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.51
No position
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.25
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.8
Under position
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.3
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.2%
- Multiplier
- 2.62x
- User PnL
- $75.9
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $73.5
No position
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.47
Yes position
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.9
Y
Yes position
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $58
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.92x
- User PnL
- $55
Y
Yes position
Will Erling Haaland score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.5
Japan position
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.07
No position
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.7
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$34.99
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under 39% 130 shares
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 5.5 CornersOver 18% 100 shares
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes 99.9% 100 shares
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Japan 73% 141 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19% 550 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.2% 1,000 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?Yes 48% 200 shares
- Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?No 96.8% 335.33 shares
- Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?No 92.3% 250 shares
- Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 54.3% 20 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 42% 200 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 26% 1,049.97 shares