Yes position
Will the White House Press Secretary say "CDC" or "WHO" during the next White House Press Briefing?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.4K
- Potential profit
- $17.4K
- User PnL
- -$440.93
Polymarket Trader
EmeraldEdge
@th33m3rald3dg3
0x3eccb67e467ab5cade77e17fe8b407450d691d30
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.25K
- Realized PnL
- $9.73K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $3.2K
- User PnL
- -$1.64K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$22
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $9
- User PnL
- $67
Yes position
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $875.12
- Potential profit
- $875.12
- User PnL
- -$150.61
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 57-60% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $799.5
- Potential payout
- $810.86
- Potential profit
- $11.35
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $497.64
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Current value
- $85.57
- Potential payout
- $763.98
- Potential profit
- $678.42
- Multiplier
- 8.93x
- User PnL
- -$419.49
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Star" this week?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $695
- Potential profit
- $695
- User PnL
- -$433.06
Y
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $275.9
- Potential payout
- $634.26
- Potential profit
- $358.36
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$59.64
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.3%
- Current value
- $385.49
- Potential payout
- $599.99
- Potential profit
- $214.5
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- -$123.3
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $276.31
- Potential payout
- $581.71
- Potential profit
- $305.4
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $57.07
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $94.55
- Potential payout
- $573.04
- Potential profit
- $478.49
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$6.73
N
No position
Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $436.14
- Potential payout
- $507.14
- Potential profit
- $71
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $443.96
- Potential payout
- $501.65
- Potential profit
- $57.69
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $4.59
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $195.05
- Potential payout
- $470
- Potential profit
- $274.95
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$149.35
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $461.65
- Potential profit
- $461.65
- User PnL
- -$80.74
Yes position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $348
- Potential profit
- $347.83
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$67.51
No position
Will Trump shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $329.61
- Potential payout
- $333.27
- Potential profit
- $3.67
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $19.63
No position
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $302.84
- Potential profit
- $302.84
- User PnL
- -$109.8
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.7%
- Current value
- $131.1
- Potential payout
- $300.01
- Potential profit
- $168.9
- Multiplier
- 2.29x
- User PnL
- -$126.1
Yes position
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $266.04
- Potential payout
- $269.68
- Potential profit
- $3.64
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $55.01
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $247.91
- Potential payout
- $249.03
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- User PnL
- $7.1
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $90
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $132.22
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
No position
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $729.26
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $707.35
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $573.29
No position
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $429.94
Yes position
Trump kiss by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $427.73
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $362.62
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318.24
Yes position
Will PLC win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $302.3
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.63
Yes position
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 6?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.14
No position
Will CD win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.35
No position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.26
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.16
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $178.29
Rousey position
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.24
Yes position
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.48
Yes position
Will Petro mention Hitler again by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.09
No position
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 11000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.84
No position
Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.95
Benavidez position
PBC Fight Night: David Benavidez vs. Gilberto ‘Zurdo’ Ramirez
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.86
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 74% 22.57 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 74.8% 5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 67.6% 20 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 71.7% 10 shares
- Will the announcers say "Header" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 96% 35.65 shares
- Will the announcers say "Header" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 97% 33.34 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?No 0.8% 1,052.12 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?No 1.7% 11 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?Yes 97% 56.36 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?Yes 95% 407.41 shares
- Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?Yes 94.1% 24 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 0.1% 2,000 shares