Polymarket Trader

12123423435345345

0x3ed0b8e7c919dd7b881e22f242f9af7666f0ec5a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $993.92
Realized PnL: -$6.84
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $133.18
Potential payout: $3.65K
Potential profit: $3.52K
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: $83.19

Yes position

Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $6.38
Potential payout: $2.55K
Potential profit: $2.54K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$28.62

Yes position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.7%
Current value: $804.85
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $1.27K
Multiplier: 2.58x
User PnL: $654.85

Yes position

Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $5.81
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$24.19

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $43.7
Potential payout: $349.61
Potential profit: $305.91
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$56.3

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $237.76
Potential profit: $237.76
User PnL: -$99.86

NIP position

Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.94
Potential profit: $99.94
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.88
Potential profit: $99.88
User PnL: -$9.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.52
Potential profit: $56.52
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.44
Potential profit: $34.44
User PnL: -$4.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.14
Potential profit: $25.14
User PnL: -$2.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.11
Potential profit: $14.11
User PnL: -$9.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.09
Potential profit: $11.09
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.46
Potential profit: $10.46
User PnL: -$1.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.52
Potential profit: $7.52
User PnL: -$2.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.66
Potential profit: $6.66
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.16
Potential profit: $6.16
User PnL: -$0.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.57
Potential profit: $1.57
User PnL: -$0.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Liquid position

Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.93

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$34.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?

No 4.7% 57.01 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Down 12% 41.67 shares
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 7.6% 128.65 shares
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 7.8% 128.66 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Up 6% 5.72 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Up 18% 9.8 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Yes 0.6% 459.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Up 10% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Up 23% 21.4 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Up 5% 99.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Down 11.9% 25.07 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Up 39.3% 7.41 shares