Polymarket Trader

tiagos

0x3ed6b5054ef77220e3850ded0a6ff4c00d919ceb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $79.06
Realized PnL: $0.17
Win rate: 28.6%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $3.57
Potential payout: $69.24
Potential profit: $65.67
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$2.43

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $9.93
Potential payout: $67.81
Potential profit: $57.87
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $3.93

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.8%
Current value: $6.06
Potential payout: $56.34
Potential profit: $50.29
Multiplier: 9.30x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $4.3
Potential payout: $54.08
Potential profit: $49.78
Multiplier: 12.58x
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $6.54
Potential payout: $47.24
Potential profit: $40.69
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$1.46

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $6.99
Potential payout: $37.27
Potential profit: $30.28
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $16.21
Potential payout: $17.06
Potential profit: $0.84
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $16.26
Potential payout: $17.02
Potential profit: $0.77
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 24.4%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $3.5
Potential profit: $2.65
Multiplier: 4.11x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $3.06
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $1.24
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $1.03
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Neymar" 5+ times during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $0.52
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.65

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54
Potential profit: $1.54
User PnL: -$1

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $1.46
Potential payout: $1.49
Potential profit: $0.03
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1.01
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Galions position

LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the announcers say "Neymar" 5+ times during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 46% 2.17 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Yes 94% 17.02 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 99.7% 6.02 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Down 94% 5.49 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Down 91% 5.49 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 89% 10.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Down 90% 5.42 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Down 97% 5.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Down 95% 5.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Down 94% 5.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Up 70% 7.35 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Up 68% 7.35 shares