Polymarket Trader

frame135

0x3edc7cc8761e05d1de35686043ab3be1546c42de

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $283.18
Realized PnL: $286.82
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $90.14
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.31K
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: $19.75

Yes position

Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $6.12
Potential payout: $240.87
Potential profit: $234.75
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$20.66

No position

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $174.87
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $5.13
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $4.86

Yes position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $51.94
Potential profit: $51.58
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$3.81

Yes position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $11.68
Potential payout: $39.61
Potential profit: $27.93
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $0.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.06

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.3

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.88

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.85

Yes position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.58

Yes position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.94

No position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.08

No position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.51

Yes position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.17

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

No position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.37

No position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

No position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

Yes position

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.89

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.57

No position

Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

Yes 3% 204.97 shares
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

No 20% 89.99 shares
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

Yes 64% 32.81 shares
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

Yes 5% 44.95 shares
Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?

Yes 84.6% 20 shares
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

Yes 45% 64 shares
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

No 80% 20 shares
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

No 93.7% 50 shares
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

No 99.3% 45 shares
Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?

Yes 84.8% 20 shares
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

No 79% 20 shares
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

Yes 0.1% 80.14 shares