No position
ECB rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $316.82
- Potential profit
- $316.82
- User PnL
- -$64.02
Polymarket Trader
julio13
0x3edd5f450eea3c823b0a9875ee9315fc700e4edf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $966.51
- Realized PnL
- $510.04
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $282.95
- Potential payout
- $294.74
- Potential profit
- $11.79
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $9.01
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $198.74
- Potential payout
- $292.27
- Potential profit
- $93.53
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- -$8.37
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $192.92
- Potential payout
- $217.99
- Potential profit
- $25.07
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $41.46
Yes position
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $100.76
- Potential payout
- $145
- Potential profit
- $44.24
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $124.72
- Potential payout
- $124.72
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $61.11
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $66.42
- Potential payout
- $90.36
- Potential profit
- $23.95
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$8.58
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.42
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 Six Nations championship?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.17
No position
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.92
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.6
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.42
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.57
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.93
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.52
No position
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $11.29
No position
Macron out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.06
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.12
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.42
No position
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.31
No position
US bank failure by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.62
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.35
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.71
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.81
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.79
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.52
Yes position
Will Ireland win?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91
No position
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
No position
US government shutdown in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.27
No position
OpenAI browser by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?No 99.2% 13.63 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?Yes 44% 12 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 83% 90.36 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?No 96.9% 106.09 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No 81% 20 shares
- Will Glasgow Warriors win?Yes 58% 9.87 shares
- Will Glasgow Warriors win?Yes 61% 9.88 shares
- Will Glasgow Warriors win?Yes 73% 14.88 shares
- Will Glasgow Warriors win?Yes 73% 9.92 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?No 67% 150 shares
- Will France win the 2026 Six Nations championship?Yes 82.2% 279.15 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 98.9% 231.99 shares