Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $71.38
- Potential payout
- $73.32
- Potential profit
- $1.94
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $21.38
Polymarket Trader
kayceII
0x3ee74a14b21b882cff32f70848f79610790827e4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $93.26
- Realized PnL
- $171.56
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $11
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.24
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $11.01
- Potential payout
- $11.17
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $10.11
- Potential payout
- $10.16
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.58
- Potential profit
- $6.58
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by September 30?Yes 98.4% 10.16 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes 89.5% 11.17 shares
- Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 99.7% 6.02 shares
- Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 76% 6.58 shares
- Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96.8% 10.33 shares
- Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 91.8% 10.89 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 68.2% 73.32 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 89% 5.62 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 99.2% 20.16 shares
- Starmer out by October 31, 2026?Yes 97% 20.62 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 11?Yes 68% 28.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 11?Yes 97.9% 20.41 shares