No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $16.61
- Potential payout
- $33.22K
- Potential profit
- $33.21K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.83K
Polymarket Trader
RewardsMafia
0x3eedf40fc4b73cf145b6e5e35d7c6ca645e4cb2a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.36K
- Realized PnL
- $34.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $157.07
- Potential payout
- $19.63K
- Potential profit
- $19.48K
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.72K
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $2.94K
- Potential payout
- $7.45K
- Potential profit
- $4.51K
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.51K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $7.87
- Potential payout
- $5.24K
- Potential profit
- $5.24K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.1K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $2.79K
- Potential payout
- $4.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $61.03
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $56.56
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- $19.39
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $565.08
- Potential payout
- $719.85
- Potential profit
- $154.77
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $435.6
- Potential payout
- $531.22
- Potential profit
- $95.62
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $33.65
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $212.08
- Potential payout
- $382.13
- Potential profit
- $170.05
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$30.42
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.9%
- Current value
- $101.12
- Potential payout
- $131.58
- Potential profit
- $30.46
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$21.38
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $81.72
- Potential payout
- $84.69
- Potential profit
- $2.96
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $10.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.93K
No position
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $2.46K
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $952.61
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $675
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $671.62
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $563.36
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $518.71
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $344.64
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $339.2
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.09
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $216.53
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 62% 112.26 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 63% 10.45 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 71.4% 1,267.18 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 22% 242.88 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes 7% 1,094.35 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 83% 7.07 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No 83% 0.1 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 84% 5 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes 7% 23,634.55 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes 8% 34,463.94 shares
- Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No 5% 3,554.89 shares
- Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No 6.4% 69.54 shares