No position
Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- User PnL
- -$52
Polymarket Trader
0x3ef46B55259c3FeE23643780631a33B426e1fdBa-1722007341046
0x3ef46b55259c3fee23643780631a33b426e1fdba
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $168
- Realized PnL
- $7.93
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- User PnL
- -$32.56
No position
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $757.25
- Potential profit
- $757.25
- User PnL
- -$168
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $39.42
- Potential payout
- $489.71
- Potential profit
- $450.29
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- -$10.21
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $128.1
- Potential payout
- $320.25
- Potential profit
- $192.15
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $221.11
- Potential profit
- $221.11
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.29
- Potential profit
- $85.29
- User PnL
- -$58
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.48
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.53
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$11.53
Yes position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.88
- Potential profit
- $32.88
- User PnL
- -$19.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.1
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.46
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.32
No position
Israel military action against Iraq before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 10.1% 489.71 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 39% 320.25 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?No 99.9% 179.75 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?No 52% 179.75 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No 25% 200 shares
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 60% 32.88 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes 24% 50 shares
- Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?Yes 68% 85.29 shares
- US recession in 2025?No 49% 118.92 shares
- US recession in 2025?No 42% 118.93 shares
- Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No 76% 65.72 shares
- Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No 54% 65.72 shares