Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $385.37
- Potential payout
- $45.34K
- Potential profit
- $44.95K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $204.02
Polymarket Trader
m00n
0x3f02a8b650d4b30449e83616f2165460209ca51c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $393.79
- Realized PnL
- $218.29K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Powell say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during April press conference?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.64K
- Potential profit
- $3.64K
- User PnL
- -$36.37
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $8.42
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.82K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.85K
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.17K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.58K
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.01K
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $9.94K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.79K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.09K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.06K
Yes position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.98K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.57K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55K
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.52K
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.99K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $3.87K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.8K
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.48K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.29K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.8K
No position
CZ jail before March?
Ends Feb 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63K
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.42K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $2.09K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.5% 3,781.28 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 2.3% 8,422.91 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.4% 67,339.47 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 5.7% 568.56 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 2.3% 172.12 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes 4.4% 658.2 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 47% 2,500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 37% 3,486.1 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 40% 295.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 47% 13 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 50% 7 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 53% 53.91 shares