Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $52.02
- Potential profit
- $51.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Polymarket Trader
0x3f02...4821
0x3f02f38c48f4f209732e3b0af6998804aa604821
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $5.03
- Realized PnL
- $171.52
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $29.82
- Potential profit
- $29.81
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $4.99
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.9
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.02
No position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.41
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.7
Yes position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.61
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.38
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.47
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.12
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 11?No 7% 4.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 11?Yes 0.7% 444.38 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 11?No 19% 0.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 11?Yes 32.4% 7.7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 11?Yes 4.1% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 11?Yes 0.9% 3.6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 11?Yes 6.2% 35.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 11?Yes 48% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on July 11?Yes 93% 2.6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on July 11?Yes 79% 2.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 11?No 99% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 11?No 84% 5 shares