Dumby1

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $141.67
Potential profit: $141.6
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $129.94
Potential profit: $129.81
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$4.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.28
Potential profit: $99.28
User PnL: -$14.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $85.95
Potential profit: $85.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.07
Potential profit: $75.07
User PnL: -$6.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.83
Potential profit: $73.83
User PnL: -$4.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $67.5
Potential profit: $67.47
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.8
Potential profit: $60.8
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.44
Potential profit: $56.44
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $49.96
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$9.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$4.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.1
Potential profit: $45.1
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.61
Potential profit: $44.61
User PnL: -$5.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.25
Potential profit: $41.25
User PnL: -$2.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.15
Potential profit: $40.15
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.58
Potential profit: $36.58
User PnL: -$4.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.18
Potential profit: $35.18
User PnL: -$9.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.27
Potential profit: $33.27
User PnL: -$1.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.81
Potential profit: $32.81
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.28
Potential profit: $32.28
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31
Potential profit: $31
User PnL: -$4.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 22?