Polymarket Trader

0x3f1e1cD502C20F42683fE39D59Cf5D786aF4F362-1768176699117

0x3f1e1cd502c20f42683fe39d59cf5d786af4f362

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.91K
Realized PnL: $16.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $922.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.08K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $32.5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $682.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.32K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$192.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $375
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.63K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$3.04K

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56K
Potential profit: $2.56K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $929.44
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $335.11
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$70.56

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$710

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$496

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.06
Potential profit: $115.06
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.77
Potential profit: $114.77
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35K

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $713.22

No position

Crude Oil all time high by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $606.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $602.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $582.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $577.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $565.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $539.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $525.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $520.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $520.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $516.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $504.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $501.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $499.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $496.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $496.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $493.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $491.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $490.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $488.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $485.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $482.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 76% 4,000 shares
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Yes 84.9% 220.56 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 62% 800 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 95% 8,000 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 71% 1,000 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.5% 5,000 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.8% 5,000 shares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 9% 5,000 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 86.9% 115.06 shares
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 87.1% 114.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Down 47.1% 408.87 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on April 20?

Yes 38.7% 501.17 shares