Polymarket Trader

Beppons

0x3f208ab1ee8f7f60839f76c35c4845cd64ae2615

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $515.02
Realized PnL: $157.89
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $65.77
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $2.16
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $60.34
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $1.16

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $50.39
Potential payout: $55.07
Potential profit: $4.68
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $50.52
Potential payout: $54.23
Potential profit: $3.71
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $51.24
Potential payout: $51.53
Potential profit: $0.28
User PnL: $1.24

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $46.66
Potential payout: $46.73
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $7.66

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $38.74
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $28.03
Potential payout: $37.13
Potential profit: $9.1
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$1.97

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $30.7
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $15.18
Potential payout: $29.2
Potential profit: $14.01
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: -$4.32

No position

Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $26.69
Potential payout: $28.74
Potential profit: $2.06
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.69

No position

Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $19.77
Potential payout: $26.19
Potential profit: $6.42
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$2.23

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $1.31
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $23.69
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $20.87
Potential payout: $24.41
Potential profit: $3.54
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will BP be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $21.58
Potential payout: $24.38
Potential profit: $2.8
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $1.08

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $20.35
Potential payout: $23.53
Potential profit: $3.18
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.35

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?

Ends Aug 13, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $20.11
Potential payout: $22.99
Potential profit: $2.87
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.11

No position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $20.16
Potential payout: $22.78
Potential profit: $2.62
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $21.16
Potential payout: $22.15
Potential profit: $0.99
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.16

No position

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $20.48
Potential payout: $21.05
Potential profit: $0.57
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $19.44
Potential payout: $21.02
Potential profit: $1.58
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $20.72
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $0.11
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.9%
Current value: $18.87
Potential payout: $20.53
Potential profit: $1.66
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$1.13

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $16.61
Potential payout: $18.35
Potential profit: $1.74
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $3.61

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic (SRB) win Gold in Men's Tennis?

Ends Aug 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.23

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.88

Yes position

Will Spain win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?

Ends Aug 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.22

Yes position

Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.1

Yes position

Will the U.S. win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?

Ends Aug 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.44

Yes position

Will Noah Lyles (USA) win Gold in 100m?

Ends Aug 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74

Yes position

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.89

No position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.33

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.96

Yes position

Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.21

Yes position

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51

Phillies position

Phillies vs. Marlins

Ends Jun 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.12

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

No 76% 1.32 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

No 79% 12.66 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?

No 87% 22.99 shares
Netanyahu out by June 30?

No 99.5% 30.45 shares
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Yes 16% 6.25 shares
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

No 47% 3.27 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 77% 3.9 shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

Yes 14% 7.14 shares
Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 98.8% 4.3 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 14% 7.14 shares
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 12% 7.06 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 88% 7.39 shares