No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $14.82
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $4.18
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $1.9
Polymarket Trader
0x3f26...5ab2
0x3f2631eaa8e5e2bb7218be214f2554c5a23a5ab2
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $60.41
- Realized PnL
- -$10.74
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.9%
- Current value
- $1.79
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $13.22
- Multiplier
- 8.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $13.27
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $6.27
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $3.4
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.6
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $2.07
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $6.93
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.62
No position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $5.85
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $1.16
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $5.64
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.1%
- Current value
- $4.21
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.7%
- Current value
- $2.38
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.62
- Multiplier
- 2.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $17.99
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
No position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$10.8
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No 82% 7 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 68% 19 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 23% 9 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes 12.5% 15 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 57.3% 5 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No 77% 5 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 22% 9 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 90.2% 11 shares
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Yes 40% 10 shares
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes 67.2% 6 shares
- Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?No 82% 6 shares
- Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?Yes 34% 7 shares