Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- User PnL
- -$40
Polymarket Trader
naggingbets
0x3f26d3a4a806daaf1da0f4ac3f3e842fd7adbac3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $837.37
- Realized PnL
- $2.86K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $50.11
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- $15.12
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- User PnL
- -$187.85
No position
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$492.73
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $23.13
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $32.88
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $17.89
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $25.34
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$4.65
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.8%
- Current value
- $330.81
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $679.29
- Multiplier
- 3.05x
- User PnL
- $130.81
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$43.59
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$272
Yes position
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $792.24
- Potential profit
- $791.84
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$116.74
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $749.85
- Potential profit
- $749.85
- User PnL
- -$254.88
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $38.66
- Potential payout
- $581.4
- Potential profit
- $542.73
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$11.34
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $510.52
- Potential profit
- $510.52
- User PnL
- -$26
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499
- Potential profit
- $499
- User PnL
- -$33.43
Yes position
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $3.7
- Potential payout
- $492.98
- Potential profit
- $489.28
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $234
- Potential payout
- $390
- Potential profit
- $156
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $31.2
Yes position
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $373.33
- Potential profit
- $373.15
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.81
Morocco position
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $98.15
- Potential payout
- $370.37
- Potential profit
- $272.22
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Yes position
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$51.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $439.07
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $426.27
Yes position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.27
Connecticut Huskies position
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.12
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.14
Arizona Wildcats position
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.39
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116
Yes position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $114
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.77
No position
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.75
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.35
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.34
Yes position
Will Clavicular get frame mogged by Gorlock the Destroyer on stream during Mog World Order?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $73.47
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.6
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.74
Yes position
Will Clavicular be the top ranked Chad by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.51
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.26
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.6
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.65
Purdue Boilermakers position
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.43
Spurs position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.21
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: England (-1.5) AND Spread: Morocco (-1.5) AND Spread: Spain (-1.5) AND Spread: United States (-1.5) AND Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?1.1% 440.91 shares
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Morocco 27% 370.37 shares
- Spread: England (-1.5) AND Spread: United States (-1.5)22.5% 217.05 shares
- Spread: England (-2.5)England 27% 129.63 shares
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Belgium 23% 100 shares
- Spread: United States (-2.5)United States 24% 187.5 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?Yes 1% 492.98 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2% 1,250 shares
- Spread: France (-1.5) AND Spread: Mexico (-1.5) AND Spread: Norway (-1.5)2.7% 1,007.41 shares
- Spread: France (-1.5)France 56% 133.93 shares
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Norway 23% 217.39 shares
- Spread: France (-1.5) AND Spread: Mexico (-1.5) AND Spread: Norway (-1.5)2.6% 189.31 shares