Yes position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $3
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Polymarket Trader
Amstrongha25010
0x3f37d86ad60213e2dc1768bd72505971f2ca0ec7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $14.56
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Oregon position
Oregon vs. Iowa
Ends Feb 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.27
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Cristian-Vasile Terheș advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Lazio win the UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Multiplier
- 6.56x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 7.4% 31.05 shares
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 86.8% 52 shares
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 87.2% 52 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 7.4% 78 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 7.4% 38 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes 3.5% 20 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes 3.7% 88 shares
- Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 98.5% 42 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 92.5% 26 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 92.5% 43 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes 3.4% 121 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes 3.8% 168 shares