Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $371.14
- Potential payout
- $916.39
- Potential profit
- $545.25
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $11
Polymarket Trader
0x3f3a...8823
0x3f3a59eee114d22bb84e98981600d65a95f18823
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $666.38
- Realized PnL
- -$15.62
- Win rate
- 46.2%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 74.3%
- Current value
- $269.36
- Potential payout
- $362.53
- Potential profit
- $93.17
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $25.88
- Potential payout
- $65.52
- Potential profit
- $39.64
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.5
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $32.31
No position
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.76
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.31
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.79
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$6.6
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$7.75
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.04
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 33.5% 46.65 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 96.3% 6.67 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 39.3% 1,608.35 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 74.9% 605.93 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 95.9% 516.97 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes 43% 630.12 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes 15% 957.99 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes 15% 957.99 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes 42% 702.61 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo 86% 646.19 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 69% 42.29 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No 26% 907.08 shares