Y
Yes position
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $397.6
- Potential payout
- $408
- Potential profit
- $10.4
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.84
Polymarket Trader
messagefromangel
0x3f4776e026871031957004a0dd1c959c821c3e9c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $397.6
- Realized PnL
- $117.66
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.25
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.1
Yes position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.45
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.23
No position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.91
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98
No position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.86
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96
No position
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07
Down position
Solana Up or Down on July 24?
Ends Jul 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in December?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in December?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?Yes 97% 408 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 99.8% 388 shares
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No 99.5% 187.88 shares
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?No 94.3% 191.44 shares
- Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?No 96% 121.62 shares
- Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?No 94.1% 65 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No 90.9% 35.42 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.7% 321.86 shares
- Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?No 98.8% 102.23 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in December?No 98.1% 34.63 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in December?No 98.9% 66.68 shares
- Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?No 98.5% 81.65 shares