No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117K
- Potential profit
- $117K
- User PnL
- -$510.12
Polymarket Trader
thisisthewaymamba
0x3f48117184db84f7eebb0ac37e730651dfc0e69b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.39K
- Realized PnL
- $5.73K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.75K
- Potential profit
- $2.75K
- User PnL
- -$970.89
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.67K
- Potential profit
- $2.67K
- User PnL
- -$615.32
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.21K
- Potential profit
- $2.21K
- User PnL
- -$657.68
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.96K
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $92.15
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $980.8
N
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $188.68
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$362.51
No position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.93K
- User PnL
- -$429.29
No position
Will Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- User PnL
- -$439.56
No position
Will Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $749.92
- Potential profit
- $749.92
- User PnL
- -$229.51
No position
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $121.52
- Potential payout
- $450.09
- Potential profit
- $328.57
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $11.54
No position
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $50.34
- Potential payout
- $335.62
- Potential profit
- $285.27
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $252.81
- Potential profit
- $252.81
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $194.14
- Potential profit
- $194.14
- User PnL
- -$50.48
No position
Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $32.53
- Potential payout
- $171.21
- Potential profit
- $138.68
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$16.76
No position
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $32.1
- Potential payout
- $145.9
- Potential profit
- $113.8
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$11.67
No position
Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$16
No position
Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.86
- Potential profit
- $35.86
- User PnL
- -$9.32
No position
Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $32
- User PnL
- -$9.92
No position
Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?
Ends Aug 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $7.11
- Potential payout
- $18.46
- Potential profit
- $11.35
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $5.06
- User PnL
- -$1.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $1.69K
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $768.69
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $726.79
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $369.61
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $363.6
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $285.94
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $273.04
No position
Meta "Mango" model released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $268.33
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $104.2
No position
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.73
No position
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.98
No position
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.54
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.65
No position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $49.51
No position
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $43.67
No position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $41.02
No position
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $30.72
No position
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $27.38
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $25.69
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $19.54
No position
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.01
No position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $15.23
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 45.1% 1,959 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 5.6% 1,809.93 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 47.6% 2,047.71 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 21.6% 1,351.86 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 33.7% 701.25 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 32.3% 127.67 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 30.8% 1,245.73 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 28.2% 145 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 37% 1,959 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 26.4% 224.53 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 37.4% 2,364.37 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?No 34.5% 868.14 shares