Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $41.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.18
Polymarket Trader
TheLARPDestroyer
0x3f52c2cd815b20f7557c173b76c2956b422543de
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $271.96
- Realized PnL
- $20.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $35.8
- Potential profit
- $35.75
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$13.19
No position
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $3.96
- Potential payout
- $28.32
- Potential profit
- $24.36
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$18.13
No position
Surf FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $17.72
- Potential payout
- $25.31
- Potential profit
- $7.59
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- -$5.42
Yes position
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $23.59
- Potential profit
- $23.38
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$3.8
Yes position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $3.94
- Potential payout
- $22.5
- Potential profit
- $18.56
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$11.81
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $6.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $13.3
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $12.2
- Potential payout
- $19.52
- Potential profit
- $7.32
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Current value
- $17.12
- Potential payout
- $19.29
- Potential profit
- $2.17
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $19.06
- Potential payout
- $19.19
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $18.56
- Potential payout
- $18.83
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.44
No position
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $12.43
- Potential payout
- $18.02
- Potential profit
- $5.59
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $17.66
- Potential payout
- $17.66
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $17.49
- Potential payout
- $17.64
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $3.2
- Potential payout
- $16.87
- Potential profit
- $13.66
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Epic Games IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.2%
- Current value
- $15.17
- Potential payout
- $16.82
- Potential profit
- $1.65
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $4.24
No position
Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $16.66
- Potential payout
- $16.69
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $16.37
- Potential profit
- $15.53
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$2.27
Yes position
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $16.19
- Potential payout
- $16.19
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5.02
No position
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $12.38
- Potential payout
- $16.08
- Potential profit
- $3.7
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$1.77
No position
Will Moon Jin-seok win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15.55
- Potential payout
- $15.55
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $15.42
- Potential payout
- $15.5
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $7.98
No position
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14.99
- Potential payout
- $14.99
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.03
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the WA-07 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $14.43
- Potential payout
- $14.54
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- User PnL
- $0.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.65K
No position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $971.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $915.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $620.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $608.34
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $586.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $511.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $487.92
T1 position
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $449.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $401.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390.59
Yes position
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $357.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318.72
Dplus KIA position
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $309.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETDown 36% 72.33 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETUp 54% 32.74 shares
- Solana Up or Down - June 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETDown 16% 12 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETDown 39% 13.61 shares
- Solana Up or Down - June 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETDown 43% 37.31 shares
- Solana Up or Down - June 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETDown 1% 1.09 shares
- Solana Up or Down - June 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETDown 18% 15.65 shares
- Solana Up or Down - June 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETUp 27% 40.13 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETUp 33% 48.68 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETDown 36% 46.07 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETUp 43% 6.69 shares
- Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETUp 25% 33.52 shares