Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $55.82
- Potential payout
- $729.73
- Potential profit
- $673.91
- Multiplier
- 13.07x
- User PnL
- -$25.17
Polymarket Trader
0x3f70e43Ce855CD63c5b156d507CD747f21D7b64F-1777915955108
0x3f70e43ce855cd63c5b156d507cd747f21d7b64f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $64.95
- Realized PnL
- $78.93
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.69
- Potential profit
- $107.69
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $44.43
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $5.17
- Potential payout
- $37.36
- Potential profit
- $32.18
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.42
- Potential profit
- $21.42
- User PnL
- -$13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $18.2
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.9%
- Current value
- $1.9
- Potential payout
- $17.54
- Potential profit
- $15.64
- Multiplier
- 9.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.28
- Potential profit
- $13.28
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.19
- Potential profit
- $11.19
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.58
- Potential profit
- $9.58
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.11
- Potential profit
- $9.11
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.82
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
No position
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $4.65
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
No position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5Over 67% 1.49 shares
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5Over 65% 3.08 shares
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5Over 33% 3.03 shares
- Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?Yes 19% 5.26 shares
- France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreYes 43% 2.33 shares
- Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?Yes 6% 16.67 shares
- Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?Yes 14% 7.14 shares
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Under 24% 4.17 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.2% 30.86 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.1% 729.73 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 1% 3.84 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes 4% 5.4 shares