No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $9.05K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $950
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Polymarket Trader
0x3F73B7Ace2BB5C65705bF0B7EC5f40693Ae8acEF-1776633856762
0x3f73b7ace2bb5c65705bf0b7ec5f40693ae8acef
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.74K
- Realized PnL
- $4.19K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 20-26?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.54K
- Potential profit
- $8.54K
- User PnL
- -$2.48K
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $146.19
- Potential payout
- $6.5K
- Potential profit
- $6.35K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$684.4
Yes position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $206.69
- Potential payout
- $4.4K
- Potential profit
- $4.19K
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- -$1.54K
No position
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.16K
- Potential profit
- $4.16K
- User PnL
- -$1.46K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.52K
- Potential profit
- $2.52K
- User PnL
- -$325.96
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.37K
- Potential profit
- $2.37K
- User PnL
- -$412.49
No position
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$894.99
Yes position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $212.12
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $848.5
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $11.77
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $921.04
- Potential profit
- $921.04
- User PnL
- -$60.96
Yes position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $790.64
- Potential profit
- $790.64
- User PnL
- -$301.78
Yes position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $559.32
- Potential profit
- $559.32
- User PnL
- -$53.06
Yes position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $26.14
- Potential payout
- $522.87
- Potential profit
- $496.73
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.83
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $427.54
- Potential profit
- $427.54
- User PnL
- -$69.23
Yes position
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $78.12
- Potential payout
- $411.18
- Potential profit
- $333.06
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$174.99
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $365.57
- Potential profit
- $365.57
- User PnL
- -$71.45
Yes position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $257.06
- Potential profit
- $257.06
- User PnL
- -$211.24
Yes position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $23.85
- Potential payout
- $153.87
- Potential profit
- $130.02
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $9.8
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.42
- Potential profit
- $87.42
- User PnL
- -$18.77
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.84
- Potential profit
- $19.84
- User PnL
- -$15.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.06
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes 44.3% 78.2 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No 17.4% 2,371.11 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 26.5% 212.64 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?Yes 39.5% 582.5 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?Yes 9.2% 306.3 shares
- Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes 40.4% 506.32 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes 81.8% 172.64 shares
- Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes 62% 350.57 shares
- Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes 53% 160 shares
- Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes 6.1% 226.03 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes 83% 84.42 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 21.5% 87.42 shares