Polymarket Trader

plsdontbreak

0x3f759cb433d1345d821194545bd7e8414c08ce35

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $422.55
Realized PnL: $754.89
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $38.04
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $2.02K
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $5.03

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $320.39
Potential payout: $320.55
Potential profit: $0.16
User PnL: $22.84

Over position

Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118
Potential profit: $118
User PnL: -$24.96

New Zealand position

Spread: Egypt (-1.5)

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$67.5

Yes position

Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $39.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $10.5
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.98
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$0.48

Power Rangers position

Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$16.25

Yes position

Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $13.5
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$3.7

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Assist" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $17.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $2.9
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $2.08
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Saudi Arabia position

Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.33

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $65.32

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.75

Under position

Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.51

Yes position

Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-21?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.07

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.7

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.86

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.04

MIBR position

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.8

Uzbekistan position

Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.79

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.77

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.21

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.94

Yes position

Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.71

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-04?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.7

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.67

Yes position

Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.68

Mexico position

Spread: Mexico (-2.5)

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.17

No position

Paraguay vs. Nicaragua: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-07?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.99

Venezuela position

Spread: Venezuela (-1.5)

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.95

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.93

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5

Over 8% 12 shares
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5

Under 69% 22.5 shares
Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5

Over 74% 29.99 shares
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5

Under 61.8% 26.03 shares
Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Under 97% 14.99 shares
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 4.9% 250 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

No 1.3% 34.3 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

No 1.5% 136.01 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

No 2.1% 14.37 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

No 1.8% 1,115.21 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

No 2.6% 10 shares
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 2.3% 378.79 shares