Polymarket Trader

rarutapiso

0x3f8169c9b061945418bbed2602fa81de243cfc4a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.56K
Realized PnL: $651.23
Win rate: 44.4%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Seattle Mariners position

New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.52K
User PnL: -$866.4

No position

Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $121.92
Potential payout: $975.36
Potential profit: $853.44
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$89.28

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $760
Potential payout: $760
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.76

No position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $690
Potential payout: $690
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $0.40 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $690
Potential profit: $690
User PnL: -$1.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $672.65
Potential profit: $672.65
User PnL: -$15.86

Minnesota Twins position

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $660
Potential payout: $660
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $323.4

No position

Will Rodrigo Rivera win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $650
Potential payout: $650
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $218.75
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $131.25
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $33.25

Kansas City Royals position

Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $340
Potential payout: $340
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $142.8

Under position

Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: -$95.2

No position

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $52.4
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $27.6
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$6

Minnesota Twins position

Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $21.5

No position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $18.9
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $11.1
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: -$2.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $396.99

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $358.4

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.9

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.3

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.35

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.85

No position

Will Donkey Kong Bananza win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.04

No position

Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$4.11

No position

Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$4.26

No position

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: -$4.58

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: -$6.8

No position

Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$6.83

Yes position

Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$46.4

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49

Yes position

Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$167.61

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 73% 80 shares
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 54.1% 790 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 53% 350 shares
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5

Under 68% 140 shares
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 60% 790 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 68% 190 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 68% 190 shares
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 52.5% 610 shares
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins

Minnesota Twins 51% 660 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

No 76% 170 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

No 80% 170 shares
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 80% 610 shares