Polymarket Trader

Dabian

0x3f9a9c3c1450e6dff0b32fe9c219a9bf5b908ece

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.2K
Realized PnL: $9.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $3.69K
Potential payout: $4.04K
Potential profit: $342.97
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $50.88

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $1.96K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $43
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $27

Yes position

Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $821.93
Potential profit: $821.93
User PnL: -$130.63

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 89.8%
Current value: $628.25
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $71.75
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $5.95

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $457.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $42.5
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $367.04
Potential profit: $367.04
User PnL: -$99.1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $58.98
Potential payout: $257
Potential profit: $198.02
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $10.02

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $239.87
Potential payout: $256
Potential profit: $16.13
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $9.73

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $169.95
Potential payout: $190
Potential profit: $20.05
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $6.36

Under position

Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.89
Potential profit: $158.89
User PnL: -$119

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68
Potential profit: $68
User PnL: -$53.52

No position

Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.2
Potential profit: $22.2
User PnL: -$18.87

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

No position

Will there be over 300k jobs added in January 2025?

Ends Feb 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $481.35

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $452.38

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $429.66

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $399.26

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $310.22

Up position

Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $290.52

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276.81

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $274.5

No position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $121.1

Up position

Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.15

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.91

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.24

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.71

No position

Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson fight rigged?

Ends Nov 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.41

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.33

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.4

No position

Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $39.29

Yes position

Will Powell say "Meeting" 9+ times during October press conference?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.74

Alcaraz position

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.5

No position

Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5

Under 84.9% 58.89 shares
Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5

Under 69% 100 shares
Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5

Under 94% 53.19 shares
Norway vs. France: O/U 6.5

Under 55% 90.91 shares
Norway vs. France: O/U 6.5

Under 54.2% 184.63 shares
Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5

Under 45% 148.89 shares
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

Yes 12% 21.93 shares
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

Yes 16% 21 shares
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5

Over 66% 151.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Up 89% 112.36 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Up 86% 29.07 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Up 86% 116.28 shares