Polymarket Trader

3FaD334086A2B7551b0A72e3c8Fd28eB5deFAa2c

0x3fad334086a2b7551b0a72e3c8fd28eb5defaa2c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $43.3
Realized PnL: $2.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.36K
User PnL: -$621.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $851.61
Potential profit: $851.61
User PnL: -$41.35

No position

Will Iran strike UAE again in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $411.49
Potential profit: $411.49
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.77
Potential profit: $285.77
User PnL: -$12.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.57
Potential profit: $272.57
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$25.75

Yes position

Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $232.56
Potential profit: $232.56
User PnL: -$10

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $180.43
Potential profit: $179.97
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$8.03

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 16.2%
Current value: $23.48
Potential payout: $144.93
Potential profit: $121.45
Multiplier: 6.17x
User PnL: $13.48

Yes position

Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $19.38
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $105.63
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $9.38

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 23-March 1?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.98
Potential profit: $55.98
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $371.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $363.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340.12

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.16

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.08

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $111.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $68.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $64.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $62.76

No position

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.02

Yes position

Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.81

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Down 36.1% 69.19 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Up 25.9% 134.59 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Up 18.6% 134.6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Down 51% 49.02 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Up 41% 64.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Up 39% 64.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Up 56% 17.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Down 43% 11.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Up 85% 164.65 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Down 43% 96.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Down 66% 184.91 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Down 36.3% 361.05 shares