No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 59.9%
- Current value
- $285.94
- Potential payout
- $477.76
- Potential profit
- $191.82
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $7.41
Polymarket Trader
0x3fb6...dadf
0x3fb6d01f65a60e3eac34b2e0d7fa134776acdadf
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $408.7
- Realized PnL
- -$39.01
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $77.11
- Potential payout
- $343.48
- Potential profit
- $266.37
- Multiplier
- 4.45x
- User PnL
- -$125.54
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14.1%
- Current value
- $28.49
- Potential payout
- $201.51
- Potential profit
- $173.02
- Multiplier
- 7.07x
- User PnL
- $12.37
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $17.16
- Potential payout
- $86
- Potential profit
- $68.84
- Multiplier
- 5.01x
- User PnL
- -$1.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.73x
- User PnL
- -$42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 8.8% 248.47 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 8% 723.11 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 16.2% 1,500 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 21.8% 811.13 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 19% 1,500 shares