Polymarket Trader

melancolie

0x3fbded0c0a363b522cc8e6d868bfdec2a812c4e4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.1K
Realized PnL: $51.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $10.04K
Potential payout: $80K
Potential profit: $69.96K
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $1.67K

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $440
Potential payout: $80K
Potential profit: $79.56K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$69.84

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $675
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.32K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $907.82
Potential payout: $34.26K
Potential profit: $33.35K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$22.61

Yes position

Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $800.59
Potential payout: $2.46K
Potential profit: $1.66K
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $110.85

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $189.96
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.81K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$29.92

Yes position

Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $43.28
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.56K
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: $11.22

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $995.49
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$9.5

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Clippers position

Warriors vs. Clippers

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52K

Natus Vincere position

Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04K

Rangers position

Rangers vs. Lightning

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75K

Dplus KIA position

Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66K

Oh My God position

Game Handicap: UP (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56K

DRX position

Valorant: DRX vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3K

Hurricanes position

Senators vs. Hurricanes

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.28K

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Bucks

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26K

Avalanche position

Kraken vs. Avalanche

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25K

EDward Gaming position

Valorant: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Ranking Matches

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23K

GIANTX position

LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2K

Flyers position

Penguins vs. Flyers

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.18K

GIANTX position

LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16K

Paper Rex position

Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffs

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07K

Rockets position

Clippers vs. Rockets

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07K

Panthers position

Rangers vs. Panthers

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06K

DN SOOPers position

Game Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2K

EDward Gaming position

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92K

T1 position

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88K

GIANTX position

Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78K

Grizzlies position

Nets vs. Grizzlies

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54K

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52K

Spurs position

Suns vs. Spurs

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

T1 position

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

Yes 44% 429.36 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.1% 5,477.42 shares
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5

Under 38% 5 shares
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Yes 78% 100 shares
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

LYON 35% 250 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 941.22 shares
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

G2 Esports 13% 19.2 shares
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner

Team Falcons 55% 24.91 shares
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner

E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 22% 250 shares
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner

T1 46% 22.73 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?

Yes 91% 0.71 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?

Yes 39% 200 shares