Polymarket Trader

Toasted-Bread

0x3fc017e2c87c373c8d2f4f678fc8444e49d8d42f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $881.53
Realized PnL: $2.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Aston Villa vs. Arsenal end in a draw?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.77K
Potential profit: $1.77K
User PnL: -$1.64K

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $358.02
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $21.46

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $306.6
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$71

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $21.5
Potential payout: $573.23
Potential profit: $551.73
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$47.29

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $62.85
Potential payout: $563.64
Potential profit: $500.79
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$17.95

No position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $418.91
Potential profit: $418.91
User PnL: -$197.75

Yes position

Will Manchester City vs. Leeds United end in a draw?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $417.9
Potential profit: $417.9
User PnL: -$200.59

Yes position

Will Bayern München vs. FC St. Pauli end in a draw?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 31.4%
Current value: $94.2
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $205.8
Multiplier: 3.18x
User PnL: $62.7

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $30.75
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $269.25
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$174

Yes position

Will Roma win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $207.02
Potential profit: $207.02
User PnL: -$18.63

Yes position

Will Italy vs. Norway end in a draw?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$29

Yes position

Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93.5
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$13.5

Yes position

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$57

Yes position

Will Moldova vs. Italy end in a draw?

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.97
Potential profit: $99.97
User PnL: -$49.89

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$52.5

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$17.4

Yes position

Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $48.76
Potential profit: $47.64
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$3.27

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.75
Potential profit: $31.75
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.91
Potential profit: $26.91
User PnL: -$16.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $716.64

Yes position

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-29?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.18

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.7

Yes position

Will either Cuomo or Mamdani concede by November 4, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.87

Yes position

Will Rangers FC vs. SC Braga end in a draw?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.67

Yes position

Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-11-30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.09

Yes position

Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.88

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.94

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.92

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.25

Yes position

Will Empoli FC win on 2025-11-29?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-29?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.21

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-04?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.06

Yes position

Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.96

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.84

Yes position

Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36

Yes position

Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.96

Yes position

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-10-21?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.41

No position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.24

Yes position

Will Atalanta BC vs. SK Slavia Praha end in a draw?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.71

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.32

Yes position

Will Pisa SC vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.17

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 23% 1,000 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 799.82 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.8% 1,800 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 10,000 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 29% 206.89 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 70% 647.69 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 80.9% 27.4 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 66% 50 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?

Yes 24% 20 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?

Yes 40% 20 shares
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.5% 300 shares
Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9% 48.76 shares