Polymarket Trader

arthuravolta

0x3fd6ba6cae299241f4d9e38fc62cb4485aefa078

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.63
Realized PnL: $4.82
Win rate: 46.7%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.22
Potential profit: $49.22
User PnL: -$3.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.38
Potential profit: $18.38
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $2.63
Potential payout: $3.5
Potential profit: $0.88
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will Modestas Bukauskas win by KO or TKO?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Bernardo Sopaj position

UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?

Yes 30% 3.5 shares
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?

Yes 10.4% 8.52 shares
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?

Yes 35.2% 8.52 shares
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?

Yes 19.6% 15.33 shares
Will Modestas Bukauskas win by KO or TKO?

Yes 40% 2.5 shares
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Bernardo Sopaj 73% 2.74 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.5% 184.73 shares
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.6% 222.22 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 2% 89.5 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 2.1% 95.24 shares
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.9% 222.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Down 22% 4.55 shares