Polymarket Trader

D1bdub

0x3fdb6f0962f476617c07df358cc706c309ce6919

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $791.2
Realized PnL: $8.53K
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.75K
Potential profit: $9.75K
User PnL: -$6.17K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.31K
Potential profit: $6.31K
User PnL: -$1.17K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.39K
Potential profit: $4.39K
User PnL: -$1.76K

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$891.81

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.21K
Potential profit: $2.21K
User PnL: -$319.02

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$751.99

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$187

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $73.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $926.5
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$35.5

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$570

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$270

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $712.95
Potential payout: $970
Potential profit: $257.05
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $33.95

Yes position

Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $667.13
Potential profit: $667.13
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $615
Potential profit: $615
User PnL: -$116.85

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$290

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%?

Ends Jan 19, 2027

Implied probability: 43.6%
Current value: $4.75
Potential payout: $10.9
Potential profit: $6.15
Multiplier: 2.29x
User PnL: $3.86

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.97K

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $481.19

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.12

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.4

Yes position

Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.49

Yes position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $75.93

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72.23

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.51

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.27

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.01

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$34.4

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$206.85

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$287.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 70% 70 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 70% 300 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 70% 600 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 27% 999.99 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 63% 1,000 shares
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 57% 1,000 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 63% 800 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

No 23% 999.22 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

No 25% 20 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

No 24% 10 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

No 24.9% 90 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

No 25% 999.85 shares