Polymarket Trader

notrading

0x3fdf9e7302b8644bf6c780b053d8c64011d59d95

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.07K
Realized PnL: $11.29K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $1.49K
Potential payout: $9.33K
Potential profit: $7.84K
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $349.09

Yes position

Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.44
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$60.02

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $191.01
Potential payout: $812.82
Potential profit: $621.81
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$296.68

No position

Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $230
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $270
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $40

No position

Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $237.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $262.5
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $22.96

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $83.84
Potential payout: $408.98
Potential profit: $325.14
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$116.16

No position

Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $137.96
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $262.04
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $29.96

No position

Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $160.43
Potential payout: $381.98
Potential profit: $221.55
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $12.17

No position

Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $49.01
Potential payout: $377
Potential profit: $327.99
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$102.99

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $19.35
Potential payout: $365
Potential profit: $345.66
Multiplier: 18.87x
User PnL: -$20.81

No position

Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $168.67
Potential payout: $334
Potential profit: $165.33
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $9.45

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $40
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $293.33
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$60

No position

StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $111.37
Potential payout: $296.99
Potential profit: $185.62
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $8.23

No position

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 59.8%
Current value: $144.02
Potential payout: $241.04
Potential profit: $97.02
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $64.72

No position

Nexus FDV above $20M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143.55
Potential profit: $143.55
User PnL: -$11.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.66K

No position

EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83K

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8K

Yes position

Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57K

No position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

No position

Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Yes position

Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $363.01

No position

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $93.69

No position

EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.27

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.23

No position

Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 8?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.18

No position

Block Street FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Block Street FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11

No position

USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

No position

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

No position

Bitway FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$111.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 70% 1,000 shares
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 69% 747.46 shares
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 73% 3,508 shares
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 66% 1,241.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Down 36.7% 25.98 shares
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?

No 0.1% 200,000 shares
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?

No 0.1% 300,000 shares
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

Yes 0.2% 125,395.81 shares
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 95% 111.75 shares
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 95% 21,384.49 shares
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?

No 86% 4,230.15 shares
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?

No 87% 1,115.03 shares