Yes position
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $673.46
- Potential payout
- $46.45K
- Potential profit
- $45.77K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $62.65
Polymarket Trader
SmirksenSOB
0x3fe258f91e35960bfb9a741d0f0a7451ea8abb3f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $778.99
- Realized PnL
- $2.73K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $57.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.94K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $12.5
Yes position
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $10.63
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $3.13
Yes position
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $16.71
- Potential payout
- $658.05
- Potential profit
- $641.34
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $6.71
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $566.67
- Potential profit
- $566.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $502.42
- Potential profit
- $502.42
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $4.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $495.75
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $3.64
- Potential payout
- $428.57
- Potential profit
- $424.93
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $417.82
- Potential profit
- $417.82
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $374.19
- Potential profit
- $374.19
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $3.39
- Potential payout
- $357.14
- Potential profit
- $353.75
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.61
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $8.66
- Potential payout
- $161.9
- Potential profit
- $153.24
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- $2.66
Connecticut Huskies position
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $145.82
- Potential profit
- $145.82
- User PnL
- -$10.21
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.41
- Potential profit
- $126.41
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110.26
- Potential profit
- $110.26
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.06
- Potential profit
- $108.06
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.49
- Potential profit
- $104.49
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101.4
- Potential profit
- $101.4
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $962.13
No position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $494.84
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.49
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $253.03
Yes position
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $152.15
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.4
No position
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.04
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.32
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.4
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.13
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.33
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.55
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.75
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $28
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.67
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.5
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.45
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.44
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.5
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $14.5
No position
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.36
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.6
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.18
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 95.6% 20.71 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 70.3% 23.03 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 87.8% 7.69 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 49.5% 32.21 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 48.4% 96.65 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?No 97.6% 22.03 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 45% 431.4 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 99% 7.14 shares
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 99.1% 8.09 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes 63% 15.87 shares
- US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?No 4.9% 101.4 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 21.6% 9.26 shares