No position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.9%
- Current value
- $10.47
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $24.54
- Multiplier
- 3.34x
- User PnL
- -$7.04
Polymarket Trader
msxcklo
0x3fe4eafcb587e68205fc7ba8e78ba6d6eb7d3011
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $77.9
- Realized PnL
- $55.06
- Win rate
- 29.2%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $29.99
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will Ian Noel Smyth win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $23
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $3.4
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.6
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $1.64
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $6.36
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
No position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $4.71
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $1.29
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.28
- Multiplier
- 6.92x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $3.98
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.03
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.37
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $9.47
Yes position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.91x
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Multiplier
- 46.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.59
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes 3.1% 36 shares
- US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?No 82% 12 shares
- US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Yes 18% 7 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No 69% 5 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 31% 8 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 96.9% 7 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 48.2% 17 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 10.9% 27 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 89.1% 7 shares
- Will Ian Noel Smyth win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No 99.7% 23 shares
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No 76% 18 shares
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes 25% 12 shares