Polymarket Trader

JoseB144

0x3fe9e1b5258a48cd5271c4991ebeeab6823b8308

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.17K
Realized PnL: $33.95K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.6K
Potential profit: $6.6K
User PnL: -$3.36K

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $2.54K
Potential payout: $3.01K
Potential profit: $466.81
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $769.62

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $989
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$551.5

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $1.93K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $68.02
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $394.18

No position

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $1.62K
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $35.69
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $211.56

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 37.6%
Current value: $582.8
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $967.2
Multiplier: 2.66x
User PnL: $396.8

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $945.5
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $604.5
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$31

Yes position

Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $856.97
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $176.15
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $254.85

Yes position

Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $52
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $947.99
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: -$608

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $543.67
Potential payout: $550
Potential profit: $6.33
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $59.67

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $42.75
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $407.25
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$51.75

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $55.8
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $4.2
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $1.89
Potential profit: $1.69
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4K

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.28K

Yes position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.84K

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79K

Yes position

Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76K

Yes position

Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57K

Yes position

Will 7-8 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34K

No position

Yoon released from custody before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

Yes position

Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Yes position

Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $899.96

Yes position

Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor majority?

Ends May 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $866.5

Yes position

Will Trump impose tariffs on Taiwan in the first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $781

Yes position

Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $771

No position

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $766

Yes position

Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $722.87

No position

Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $660.54

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $645.81

Yes position

Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $639.75

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $614.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 2.5% 2.85 shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 38.8% 450 shares
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 60% 450 shares
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?

Yes 89% 1.12 shares
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

No 91% 1,409 shares
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?

No 77% 1.3 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Yes 14.1% 1,000 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Yes 15.7% 1,000 shares
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?

No 77% 1,346 shares
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?

No 91.7% 309.99 shares
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Yes 0.1% 200 shares
Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Yes 0.1% 200 shares