Polymarket Trader

k123

@shtanga0x

0x3fec6926255ec2eec1b4c8bdf4e4bad34025728e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.49K
Realized PnL: $19.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $4.83K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $172.5
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $227.51

Yes position

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $1.54K
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$1.01K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $95
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $105
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$31

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $6.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $193.1
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$47.1

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $198.4
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $1.6
User PnL: $24.4

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $198.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $1.1
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $34
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $66
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$27

Yes position

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $17.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $82.5
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$32.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.99K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07K

NRG position

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $997.51

No position

Solana above $170 on November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $810.71

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $3700 and $3800 on July 30?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $783.07

No position

Ethereum above $2,800 on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $624.74

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $605.62

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106K on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $589

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $90,000 by Wednesday?

Ends Feb 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $571.59

Wildcard position

Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $500

MIBR position

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $500

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $444.46

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90k in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $436.68

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2700 on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $418.51

Bengals position

Bengals vs. Steelers

Ends Jan 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $412.5

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,300 on November 29?

Ends Nov 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $409.22

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3100 on July 18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $367.78

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $365.85

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $353.76

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 1?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $343.1

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on May 31 at 5 PM ET?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $333.97

Yes position

XRP above $2.20 on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $332.75

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 8?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $331

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 92% 10 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 93% 2,000 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 27% 15 shares
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?

No 79% 264.08 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 92.8% 4,200 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 86.4% 100 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 99% 80.69 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 11.4% 1,000 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?

No 99.5% 1,999.98 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 25.8% 25 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 25.8% 508.5 shares
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in June?

No 97% 0.19 shares