Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $111.56
- Potential payout
- $187.5
- Potential profit
- $75.94
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $36.56
Polymarket Trader
Osetrov
0x3ff811d448b1321c848e9aaafadfb85a99e39cdb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $126.12
- Realized PnL
- -$6.04
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $21.74
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $10.49
- Potential payout
- $16.39
- Potential profit
- $5.9
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $4.07
- Potential payout
- $12.71
- Potential profit
- $8.64
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $1.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 23.6% 12.71 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes 40% 187.5 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes 23% 21.74 shares
- Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?No 94.6% 21.66 shares
- Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes 42.6% 25.64 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?No 93.2% 11.62 shares
- Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No 47.8% 33.63 shares
- U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?No 91.3% 22.58 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?No 86% 11.63 shares
- U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?No 88.6% 22.58 shares
- Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes 39% 25.64 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?Yes 17.8% 56.21 shares