Polymarket Trader

0x4004D0396DC49199efda87Ca9c29691CD787C5DE-1772138473676

0x4004d0396dc49199efda87ca9c29691cd787c5de

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $551.78
Realized PnL: $12.58K
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.43K
Potential profit: $5.43K
User PnL: -$99.89

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.36K
Potential profit: $5.36K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $381.82
Potential payout: $3.64K
Potential profit: $3.25K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$18.18

Yes position

Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.49K
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $134.63
Potential payout: $2.45K
Potential profit: $2.31K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $7.24

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $2.22K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $22
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $1.74K
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $5.83
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.66K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$4.17

Yes position

Netanyahu out by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.27K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $933.33
Potential profit: $933.33
User PnL: -$56

Yes position

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $910.29
Potential profit: $910.29
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $773.39
Potential profit: $773.39
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $762.98
Potential profit: $762.98
User PnL: -$139

Yes position

Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $548.33
Potential profit: $548.33
User PnL: -$26.22

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $533.33
Potential profit: $533.33
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $444.79
Potential profit: $444.79
User PnL: -$217

Yes position

Trump out as President by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $444.44
Potential profit: $444.44
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.31K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $753.79

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $279.96

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.29

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.8% 292.93 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 11% 3,636.36 shares
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Yes 5% 1,947.8 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 27% 54.96 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 40% 15 shares
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Yes 6% 500 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Yes 15.9% 125.65 shares
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 0.6% 1,666.67 shares
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 0.4% 2,500 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Yes 20.8% 345.87 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

Yes 8.3% 120.32 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Yes 21.7% 461.16 shares