Polymarket Trader

brucemsx

0x4025c1e9186f6bddc7e4da4eb6e5b5bed5bdde4e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.62K
Realized PnL: -$1.46K
Win rate: 81.8%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86K
Potential profit: $142.86K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $1.94K
Potential payout: $33.18K
Potential profit: $31.24K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$3.06K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.02K
Potential profit: $29.02K
User PnL: -$5K

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $5.67K
Potential payout: $27.68K
Potential profit: $22.01K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$4.33K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$3.5K

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.18K
Potential profit: $5.18K
User PnL: -$3.73K

Yes position

Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55K
Potential profit: $4.55K
User PnL: -$1K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Ethereum all time high by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69K

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $2.04K

No position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85K

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

No position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

No position

China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.31

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.98

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $23.53

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.92

80k position

Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$223.37

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.07K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

No 96.7% 23,853.3 shares
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

No 98.5% 52,187.56 shares
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

No 92.4% 23,853.31 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 84% 26,239.94 shares
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

No 95% 52,187.57 shares
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?

Yes 50% 7,001.02 shares
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?

Yes 72% 5,183.95 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.1% 33,177.01 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 36.1% 27,681.92 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?

Yes 17.2% 29,018.74 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 76.2% 26,239.94 shares
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Yes 22% 4,545.45 shares