No position
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $1.29K
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $384
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $184.94
Polymarket Trader
mashutka
0x40274d8d5146dba19910d0818ff2fbf75fd61f6a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.97K
- Realized PnL
- $11.91K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $12.78
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $2.78
No position
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $952.23
- Potential payout
- $986.26
- Potential profit
- $34.03
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $22.95
No position
Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $808.4
- Potential payout
- $855
- Potential profit
- $46.6
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $13.25
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $686.52
- Potential payout
- $686.52
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $164.76
No position
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $400
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $100
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Pacifica FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $320.69
- Potential payout
- $403.38
- Potential profit
- $82.69
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$77.97
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $9.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $390.6
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $30.61
- Potential payout
- $323.91
- Potential profit
- $293.3
- Multiplier
- 10.58x
- User PnL
- $20.61
No position
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $248.2
- Potential payout
- $267.02
- Potential profit
- $18.82
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $16.36
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $8.68
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $191.32
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
No position
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $174.19
- Potential payout
- $185.51
- Potential profit
- $11.32
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $20.22
No position
Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $24.89
- Potential payout
- $34.57
- Potential profit
- $9.68
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$6.91
No position
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $4.73
- Potential payout
- $6.75
- Potential profit
- $2.03
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $835.55
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $737.67
Yes position
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $730.56
No position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $646.1
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $600
Yes position
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $386.39
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $384.95
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $374.08
Yes position
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $373.23
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $361.97
No position
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360.66
No position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $356.4
Yes position
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.93
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.85
No position
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $224.67
No position
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $161.69
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159
No position
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.22
No position
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.58
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.55
Yes position
Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No 99.1% 100.91 shares
- Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?No 50% 600 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 90% 46.08 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No 53.6% 77.24 shares
- Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?No 35% 16.74 shares
- Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?No 18% 1,966.31 shares
- Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?No 16.4% 2,484.16 shares
- Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?No 21% 40 shares
- Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 86% 99.87 shares
- Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?No 35% 8.09 shares
- Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?No 71% 1,000 shares
- Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 79% 365 shares