Polymarket Trader

picnic-choose

0x40303b7b19b3280b930444f6a4e6ed879e48093a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14
Realized PnL: $43.17
Win rate: 34.8%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Saudi Arabia to win the second half?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.5

No position

Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Under position

UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Under position

West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 5.5

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on March 29?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Under position

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 5.5

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

No position

Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-05-28?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

No position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 8m?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$1.37

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$3.83

Under position

Modern SC vs. ZED FC: O/U 3.5

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.1

No position

Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$15.53

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$21.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Saudi Arabia to win the second half?

No 90% 14 shares
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 5.5

Under 92% 18 shares
Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-05-28?

No 94% 12 shares
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 5.5

Under 93% 20 shares
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 5.5

Under 94% 14 shares
Modern SC vs. ZED FC: O/U 3.5

Under 91% 9.97 shares
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?

Yes 93.1% 1,229 shares
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?

Yes 93.1% 1,229 shares
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?

Yes 4.9% 457 shares
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?

Yes 5.2% 457 shares
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?

No 6.6% 1,406 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?

Yes 92% 201 shares